Texas Prediction Markets & 2026 Odds
Texas prediction markets in one catalogue: every contract whose subject is a Texas race or a Texas club, priced by the exchanges and written up from the state’s side. Trading sets the order.
Sports
7 markets · the 3 largest by volume, then the next 47 markets · by volumeSee all 7 sports →Texas NBA Finals Odds 2027
San Antonio Spurs1st of 3022%+355
Houston Rockets14th of 302%+4900
Dallas Mavericks17th of 301%+9900Texas AL West Odds 2026
Houston Astros—
Texas Rangers—Texas Big 12 Championship Odds 2026
| Market | Texas | Price | 24h | Field | Volume | Settles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas NBA Finals Odds 2027NBA · 30 outcomes · 2 venues | San Antonio Spurs 1st of 30Houston Rockets 14thDallas Mavericks 17th | 22%+355 | — | San Antonio Spurs lead the field30 outcomes | $53M$425K 24h | Jun 30, 2027 |
| Texas AL West Odds 2026MLB · 5 outcomes · 2 venues | Houston Astros —Texas Rangers — | — | — | Houston Astros settled yes5 outcomes | $2.9M$67K 24h | Settled |
| Texas Big 12 Championship Odds 202616 outcomes · Kalshi | Texas Tech 35%Utah 24%BYU 16% | 35%+186 | down 1 points over 24h | Texas Tech lead the field16 outcomes | $2.9M$29K 24h | Dec 5, 2026 |
| Dallas Cowboys NFC East Odds 2026NFL · 4 outcomes · 2 venues |  Dallas Cowboys 2nd of 4 | 28%+264 | up 4 points over 24h | Philadelphia Eagles 54%leads 4 outcomes | $1.8M$90K 24h | Jan 11, 2027 |
| Dallas Cowboys Win Total Odds 2026NFL · 14 thresholds · Kalshi | Over 9+ line14 thresholds | 55%-122 | — | Over 8+ 69% · Over 10+ 40%the rungs either side | $380K$454 24h | Jan 17, 2027 |
| Houston Texans Win Total Odds 2026NFL · 14 thresholds · Kalshi | Over 9+ line14 thresholds | 50%-100 | up 1 points over 24h | Over 8+ 64% · Over 10+ 35%the rungs either side | $248Kno 24h volume served | Jan 17, 2027 |
| Dallas Cowboys Playoff Odds 2026NFL · 2 outcomes · Kalshi | Dallas Cowboys 45%No 56% | 45%+122 | up 1 points over 24h | No 56%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $198K$843 24h | — |
No sports market in that group.
Politics
7 markets · the 3 largest by volume, then the next 37 markets · by volumeSee all 7 politics →Texas Senate Odds 2026
Texas 15th District Odds 2026
Texas Governor Odds 2026
| Market | Texas | Price | 24h | Field | Volume | Settles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Senate Odds 2026Statewide · 4 outcomes · Kalshi · 2 venues | James Talarico 60%Republicans 41%Republicans 9% | 60%-150 | — | James Talarico lead the field4 outcomes | $17M$158K 24h | No date servedvote |
| Texas 15th District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · Kalshi · 2 venues | Democratic Party 75%No 26% | 75%-300 | — | No 26%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $2.3M$227 24h | No date servedvote |
| Texas Governor Odds 2026Statewide · 2 outcomes · Kalshi · 2 venues | Republicans 79%No 22% | 79%-376 | down 3 points over 24h | No 22%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $1.7M$30K 24h | No date servedvote |
| Texas 28th District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · Kalshi · 2 venues | Democratic Party 89%No 12% | 89%-809 | — | No 12%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $202K$3 24h | No date servedvote |
| Texas 24th District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Republican Party 89%No 12% | 89%-809 | down 1 points over 24h | No 12%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $85K$109 24h | No date servedvote |
| Texas 21st District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Republican Party 94%No 7% | 94%-1567 | — | No 7%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $74Kno 24h volume served | No date servedvote |
| Texas 32nd District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Republican Party 87%No 13% | 87%-669 | down 1 points over 24h | No 13%quoted, not 1 − Yes | $69K$707 24h | No date servedvote |
No politics market in that group.
Price is the Texas side’s figure, the mean of the books quoting it · 24h in points, — under a point · Field = the whole-field leader, the other quoted side, or the rungs either side of the line · sports dates as served by Genius; politics rows show the vote, from each page’s settlement text
Movers
A point or more in 2d, then the busiest that held- Dallas Cowboys NFC East Odds 2026Dallas Cowboysup 4 points over 24h28%+264
- Dallas Cowboys Win Total Odds 2026Dallas pro football teamdown 4 points over 2d40%+150
- Texas Governor Odds 2026Republicansdown 3 points over 2d79%-376
- Texas Big 12 Championship Odds 2026Texas Techdown 1 points over 24h35%+186
- Dallas Cowboys Playoff Odds 2026Dallas Cowboysup 1 points over 24h45%+122
- Texas NBA Finals Odds 2027San Antonio Spursheld within a point over 24h22%+355
Top Texas Markets
Two kinds of contract carry most of the money in this catalogue. The first is political, a contract on the party that wins an office: the Texas Senate race, for the state’s Class 2 seat on November 3, 2026, anchors that side of the list, and the governor’s race and the House districts, the 15th among them, take the same shape. The second is a sports future on a club that plays its home games in Texas: a division or championship field in which the club is one line, such as the Cowboys in the NFC East or the Astros and Rangers in the AL West; a win-total ladder such as the Cowboys’, one contract per line; and a single playoff contract. The Big 12 championship field is priced through Texas Tech, the 2027 NBA Finals field through the Spurs, Rockets and Mavericks. Every page carries its own prices, dated; this list carries none.
What Moves Texas Markets
Political contracts move on the Texas Secretary of State’s calendar: registration for the November 3, 2026 election closes on October 5, early voting runs from October 19 to October 30, and the turnout the state reports through that window is the first hard number before the result. Sports contracts move one result at a time on the league’s schedule. The Astros and Rangers play their last regular-season games on September 27, 2026, when the AL West contract runs out of games; the Cowboys and Texans finish when Week 18 of the NFL season is complete on January 9 and 10, 2027, and the win-total ladders and the NFC East contract settle on the final standings; the Big 12 title game is expected to settle its contract on December 5, 2026, and the NBA champion is not decided until the Finals in June 2027. A clinch or an elimination settles a sports contract early; a trade reprices one the day it lands.
Why Texas Prediction Markets
A contract here is a yes-or-no question with a price, and the price reads as the probability the market implies, written as a percentage and never in cents. A Senate race and a division race are different subjects but the same instrument, and each page reads the same way: the question, the exchanges that price it, what settles it and what would move it. A market is Texas’s when its subject is a Texas office or a club that plays its home games in the state; a national field is written to the Texas lines inside it, never to the whole field. Where two exchanges price one question the page shows both; where one does, it says so. Settlement is always a named source, the certified result or a three-network call for a race and the league’s official record for a season, so a lead is never a result. The sports contracts sit together on the sports page, the races on the elections page, and what Texas law says about each exchange on the legal status page.
Questions readers ask
How do Texas prediction markets work?
A contract pays a fixed amount if its outcome happens, such as the Dallas Cowboys winning the NFC East or a Republican being sworn in for the 15th District, and nothing otherwise, so the price traders pay for it, shown here as a percentage, is the probability the market implies. Kalshi and Polymarket list the contracts in this catalogue; the site takes no trades.
Which Texas subjects have prediction markets?
The November 3, 2026 races for the state’s Class 2 Senate seat, for Governor of Texas and for its House districts, and the seasons of the clubs that play their home games in Texas, from the Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans to the Houston Astros, Texas Rangers, San Antonio Spurs, Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks, plus the Big 12 title priced through Texas Tech.
How do Texas markets settle?
On a source each contract names before trading opens: a race on the certified result or on the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC calling it for the same candidate, a division or championship on the club the league declares champion, and a win-total ladder on the final regular-season standings, which for the Cowboys and Texans means the games of January 9 and 10, 2027.
Where can I trade Texas prediction markets?
On the exchange that lists each contract, named on its page. On September 23, 2026 Kalshi and Polymarket both listed the Texas Senate, NFC East and AL West contracts, and Kalshi alone listed the Cowboys’ and Texans’ win-total ladders and the Big 12 field; Texas Predictions is a reader’s site, not an exchange, and takes no trades.
Are prediction markets legal in Texas?
The site’s legal status page carries that answer with its own review date, setting out what Texas law, the state’s regulators and its courts have said about each exchange and drawing no conclusion where the record is silent; nothing in this catalogue is legal advice or an invitation to trade.